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Author |
Lehtonen, H. |
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Title |
Evaluating adaptation and the production development of Finnish agriculture in climate and global change |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Agricultural and Food Science |
Abbreviated Journal |
Agricultural and Food Science |
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Volume |
24 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
219-234 |
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Keywords |
agricultural sector modelling; economic adjustment; global prices; climate change; finnish agriculture; crop production; land-use; challenge; ensembles; Finland; Europe; policy |
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Abstract |
Agricultural product prices and policies influence the development of crop yields under climate change through farm level management decisions. On this basis, five main scenarios were specified for agricultural commodity prices and crop yields. An economic agricultural sector model was used in order to assess the impacts of the scenarios on production, land use and farm income in Finland. The results suggest that falling crop yields, if realized due to low prices and restrictive policies, will result in decreasing crop and livestock production and increasing nutrient surplus. Slowly increasing crop yields could stabilise production and increase farm income. Significantly higher crop prices and yields are required, however, for any marked increase in production in Finland. Cereals production would increase relatively more than livestock production, if there were high prices for agricultural products. This is explained by abundant land resources, a high opportunity cost of labour and policies maintaining current dairy and beef production. |
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2016-07-22 |
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English |
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1459-6067 |
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TradeM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4750 |
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Author |
Liu, X.; Lehtonen, H.; Purola, T.; Pavlova, Y.; Rötter, R.P., T. |
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Title |
Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotation with adaptation practices |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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TradeM |
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14th EAAE Congress, Ljubljana (Slovenia), 2014-08-26 to 2014-08-29 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2604 |
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Author |
Lehtonen, H.; Rötter, R.; T., P. |
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Title |
Farm level analysis as a key to integrated regional case studies in Finland |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2013 |
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TradeM |
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MACSUR TradeM workshop: Exploring new ideas for trade and agriculture model integration for assessing the impacts of climate change on food security, The Natural Resource and Environmental Research Center (NRERC), University of Haifa, Israel, 2013-03-03 t |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2596 |
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Author |
Lehtonen, H.; Liu, X.; Purola, T. |
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Title |
Endogenising yield development through management and crop rotation decisions in dynamic farm level modeling |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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42. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, Wien, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2597 |
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Lehtonen, H.; Irz, X.; Kahiluoto, H.; Jansik, C.; Kuisma, M.; Kuosmanen, N.; Känkänen, H.; Kässi, P.; Mäkinen, H.; Niskanen, O.; Rimhanen, K.; Sinisalo, A. |
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Adaptation of the food sector and socio-economic impacts, of climate change in North-East Europe : Dairy sector adaptations and socio-economic, implications of climate change in Finland and Leningrad Oblast in, Russia (ADIOSO) |
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Conference Article |
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2013 |
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TradeM |
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FICCA seminar : Research programme on climate change. April 16th, Helsinki, 2013-04-16 to 2013-04-16 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2595 |
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