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Author Virkajärvi, P.; Korhonen, P.; Bellocchi, G.; Curnel, Y.; Wu, L.; Jégo, G.; Persson, T.; Höglind, M.; Van Oijen, M.; Gustavsson, A.-M.; Kipling, R.P. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Modelling responses of forages to climate change with a focus on nutritive value Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal Advances in Animal Biosciences  
  Volume 7 Issue 03 Pages 227-228  
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  ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4876  
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Author van der Linden, A.; van de Ven, G.W.J.; Oosting, S.J.; van Ittersum, M.K.; de Boer, I.J.M. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Exploring grass-based beef production under climate change by integration of grass and cattle growth models Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal Advances in Animal Biosciences  
  Volume 7 Issue 03 Pages 224-226  
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  ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4877  
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Author Kipling, R.P.; Bannink, A.; Özkan Gülzari, Ş.; Van Middelkoop, J. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Editorial Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal Advances in Animal Biosciences  
  Volume 7(03) Issue 03 Pages 223  
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  ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4878  
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Author Conradt, T.; Gornott, C.; Wechsung, F. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Extending and improving regionalized winter wheat and silage maize yield regression models for Germany: Enhancing the predictive skill by panel definition through cluster analysis Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication (up) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Abbreviated Journal Agricultural and Forest Meteorology  
  Volume 216 Issue Pages 68-81  
  Keywords cluster analysis; crop yield estimation; germany; multivariate regression; silage maize; winter wheat; climate-change; canadian prairies; crop yield; temperature; responses; environments; variability; cultivar; china  
  Abstract Regional agricultural yield assessments allowing for weather effect quantifications are a valuable basis for deriving scenarios of climate change effects and developing adaptation strategies. Assessing weather effects by statistical methods is a classical approach, but for obtaining robust results many details deserve attention and require individual decisions as is demonstrated in this paper. We evaluated regression models for annual yield changes of winter wheat and silage maize in more than 300 German counties and revised them to increase their predictive power. A major effort of this study was, however, aggregating separately estimated time series models (STSM) into panel data models (PDM) based on cluster analyses. The cluster analyses were based on the per-county estimates of STSM parameters. The original STSM formulations (adopted from a parallel study) contained also the non-meteorological input variables acreage and fertilizer price. The models were revised to use only weather variables as estimation basis. These consisted of time aggregates of radiation, precipitation, temperature, and potential evapotranspiration. Altering the input variables generally increased the predictive power of the models as did their clustering into PDM. For each crop, five alternative clusterings were produced by three different methods, and similarities between their spatial structures seem to confirm the existence of objective clusters about common model parameters. Observed smooth transitions of STSM parameter values in space suggest, however, spatial autocorrelation effects that could also be modeled explicitly. Both clustering and autocorrelation approaches can effectively reduce the noise in parameter estimation through targeted aggregation of input data. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.  
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  ISSN 0168-1923 ISBN Medium Article  
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  Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4709  
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Author van Bussel, L.G.J.; Ewert, F.; Zhao, G.; Hoffmann, H.; Enders, A.; Wallach, D.; Asseng, S.; Baigorria, G.A.; Basso, B.; Biernath, C.; Cammarano, D.; Chryssanthacopoulos, J.; Constantin, J.; Elliott, J.; Glotter, M.; Heinlein, F.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Klein, C.; Nendel, C.; Priesack, E.; Raynal, H.; Romero, C.C.; Rötter, R.P.; Specka, X.; Tao, F. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Spatial sampling of weather data for regional crop yield simulations Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication (up) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Abbreviated Journal Agricultural and Forest Meteorology  
  Volume 220 Issue Pages 101-115  
  Keywords Regional crop simulations; Winter wheat; Upscaling; Stratified sampling; Yield estimates; climate-change scenarios; water availability; growth simulation; potential impact; food-production; winter-wheat; model; resolution; systems; soil  
  Abstract Field-scale crop models are increasingly applied at spatio-temporal scales that range from regions to the globe and from decades up to 100 years. Sufficiently detailed data to capture the prevailing spatio-temporal heterogeneity in weather, soil, and management conditions as needed by crop models are rarely available. Effective sampling may overcome the problem of missing data but has rarely been investigated. In this study the effect of sampling weather data has been evaluated for simulating yields of winter wheat in a region in Germany over a 30-year period (1982-2011) using 12 process-based crop models. A stratified sampling was applied to compare the effect of different sizes of spatially sampled weather data (10, 30, 50,100, 500, 1000 and full coverage of 34,078 sampling points) on simulated wheat yields. Stratified sampling was further compared with random sampling. Possible interactions between sample size and crop model were evaluated. The results showed differences in simulated yields among crop models but all models reproduced well the pattern of the stratification. Importantly, the regional mean of simulated yields based on full coverage could already be reproduced by a small sample of 10 points. This was also true for reproducing the temporal variability in simulated yields but more sampling points (about 100) were required to accurately reproduce spatial yield variability. The number of sampling points can be smaller when a stratified sampling is applied as compared to a random sampling. However, differences between crop models were observed including some interaction between the effect of sampling on simulated yields and the model used. We concluded that stratified sampling can considerably reduce the number of required simulations. But, differences between crop models must be considered as the choice for a specific model can have larger effects on simulated yields than the sampling strategy. Assessing the impact of sampling soil and crop management data for regional simulations of crop yields is still needed.  
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  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0168-1923 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4673  
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