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Schönhart, M.; Schauppenlehner, T.; Kuttner, M.; Kirchner, M.; Schmid, E. |
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Climate change impacts on farm production, landscape appearance, and the environment: Policy scenario results from an integrated field-farm-landscape model in Austria |
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2016 |
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Agricultural Systems |
Abbreviated Journal |
Agricultural Systems |
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145 |
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39-50 |
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Integrated land use modeling; Climate change impacts; Mitigation; Adaptation; Field-farm-landscape; Environment; agricultural landscapes; land-use; netherlands; adaptation; indicators; management; responses |
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Climate change is among the major drivers of agricultural land use change and demands autonomous farm adaptation as well as public mitigation and adaptation policies. In this article, we present an integrated land use model (ILM) mainly combining a bio-physical model and a bio-economic farm model at field, farm and landscape levels. The ILM is applied to a cropland dominated landscape in Austria to analyze impacts of climate change and mitigation and adaptation policy scenarios on farm production as well as on the abiotic environment and biotic environment. Changes in aggregated total farm gross margins from three climate change scenarios for 2040 range between + 1% and + 5% without policy intervention” and compared to a reference situation under the current climate. Changes in aggregated gross margins are even higher if adaptation policies are in place. However, increasing productivity from climate change leads to deteriorating environmental conditions such as declining plant species richness and landscape appearance. It has to be balanced by mitigation and adaptation policies taking into account effects from the considerable spatial heterogeneity such as revealed by the ILM. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
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English |
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0308-521x |
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CropM, TradeM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4767 |
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Köchy, M.; Lehtonen, H.; Schönhart, M.; Roggero, P.P. |
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Gesellschaftliche und wirtschaftliche Bedingungen für die europäische Landwirtschaft bis 2050 |
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2013 |
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GAP nach 2013, 2013-12-09 to 2013-12-10 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2557 |
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Kirchner, M.; Schönhart, M.; Mitter, H.; Schmid, E. |
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Title |
How does climate change adaptation impact GHG emissions – the case of Austrian Agriculture |
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2014 |
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TradeM |
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Lebensmittelversorgung, Lebensmittelsicherheit und Ernährungssouveränität Food security, safety and sovereignty, 24. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, Wien, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2541 |
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Kirchner, M.; Mitter, H.; Schönhart, M.; Schmid, E.; Kindermann, G. |
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A spatially explicit integrated assessment of agricultural policy and climate change impacts on Austrian, land use and environment |
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2013 |
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133rd EAAE seminar Developing Integrated and Reliable Modeling Tools for Agricultural and Environmental Policy Analysis, Crete, Greece, 2013-06-15 to 2013-06-16 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2539 |
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Author |
Schönhart, M. |
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Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Impacts at Landscape Level in the Austrian Mostviertel Region |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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5 |
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Sp5-59 |
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Climate change poses fundamental challenges on agriculture. It triggers autonomous adaptation responses of famers and thereby impacts the success of climate change mitigation. Integrated modelling frameworks (IMF) on land use serve as decision support instruments under such conditions by considering climate signals and accounting for combined mitigation and adaptation policies. We apply an IMF at the farm level in two contrasting grassland and cropland dominated landscapes in Austria to analyze climate change impacts on land use as well as impacts from mitigation and adaptation policies on the abiotic and biotic environment and the landscape. Results show that the impacts on farm gross margins and the abiotic and biotic environment are substantial either directly from climate change (e.g. changing erosion levels) or triggered via adaptation responses (i.e. land use and management change). Average gross margins increase between 1% and 12% depending on the case study landscape, the climate change scenario, and the policy scenario. With respect to biodiversity indicators, land use changes in the adaptation scenario decrease plant species diversity on farmland by 13% on average and losses are up to 80% for some farms. These changes are driven by policies in the adaptation scenario as responses on climate change in the absence of policies are modest with minor impacts on biodiversity. Results indicate the effectiveness of climate change adaptation in increasing farm incomes and the need to coordinate mitigation and adaptation policies to manage environmental outcomes. The IMF turns out to be effective in revealing heterogeneity of climate change impacts among farms and regions and linkages among adaptation and mitigation policies. No Label |
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MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2174 |
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