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Author Ewert, F.; Rötter, R.; Brüser, K. url  openurl
  Title CropM: Understanding and Modelling Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production Type Conference Article
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 6 Issue Pages SP6-2  
  Keywords  
  Abstract Key ambition:To developa shared comprehensive information system on the impacts of climate change on European crop production and food securityfirst shared pan-continental assessments and tools(Full) range of important crops and important crop rotationsImproved management and analysis of dataModel improvement (stresses and factors not yet accounted for)Advanced scaling methodsAdvanced link to farm and sector modelsComprehensive uncertainty assessment and reportingTo train integrative crop modelerData. for better understanding and modelling climate change impactEvaluation of data quality (platinum, gold, silver)Quantify data gaps for modellingEmpirical analysis of crop responses to past climate variability and changeObserved adaptation options and their efficacyEffect of extreme events (past analysis and projections)Climate change scenariosConcept for data management, data journalUncertaintyMethodology & protocols for uncertainty analysisMethodology for standardized model evaluationLocal-scale climate scenarios & uncertainties in climate projectionsBasic methodology for probabilistic assessment of CC impacts using impact response surfacesMethodology for probabilistic evaluation of alternative adaptation options Main aims in MACSUR2:Improve crop model to better capture extremesComplement knowledge from crop models with empirical crop-weather analysisConsider management variables in simulationsFull range of methods for analysing uncertainty in climate impact assessmentsEvaluate potential adaptation optionsContributing to cross-cutting issues and case studies.Further the links with other modelling activitiesLink local to European and global responses No Label  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Brussels Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
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  ISSN ISBN Medium (down)  
  Area Expedition Conference Climate-change impacts on farming systems in the next decades: Why worry when you have CAP? A FACCE MACSUR workshop for policymakers  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2083  
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Author Banse, M. url  openurl
  Title Climate-change impacts on farming systems in the next decades: Why worry when you have CAP? A FACCE MACSUR workshop for policymakers – Introduction Type Conference Article
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 6 Issue Pages SP6-1  
  Keywords  
  Abstract MACSUR’s aims•To analyze the effects of climate change for farming conditions in European regions •To identify risks for farmers, to jointly develop mitigation and adaptation options•To analyze consequences of mitigation and adaptation for farming competitiveness, the environment and rural developmentMACSUR’S mission •improve and integratemodels – crop and livestock production, farms, and national & international agri-food markets•demonstrate integration and links – models for selected farming systems and regions •provide hands-on training- young and experienced researchers in integrative modelingProgramme of the workshop•Presentation of current achievements—Regional Pilots on climate adaptation —EU-level assessments •Intensive discussion with all participants—What are your knowledge needs ?—What can MACSUR-2 contribute ?—How to collaborate ?—Next steps of interaction No Label  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Brussels Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium (down)  
  Area Expedition Conference Climate-change impacts on farming systems in the next decades: Why worry when you have CAP? A FACCE MACSUR workshop for policymakers  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2082  
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Author Wallach, D.; Thorburn, P.; Asseng, S.; Challinor, A.J.; Ewert, F.; Jones, J.W.; Rötter, R.; Ruane, A. url  openurl
  Title Overview paper on comprehensive framework for assessment of error and uncertainty in crop model predictions Type Report
  Year 2016 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 8 Issue Pages C4.1-D  
  Keywords MACSUR_ACK; CropM  
  Abstract Crop models are important tools for impact assessment of climate change, as well as for  exploring management options under current climate. It is essential to evaluate the  uncertainty associated with predictions of these models. Several ways of quantifying  prediction uncertainty have been explored in the literature, but there have been no  studies of how the different approaches are related to one another, and how they are  related to some overall measure of prediction uncertainty. Here we show that all the  different approaches can be related to two different viewpoints about the model; either  the model is treated as a fixed predictor with some average error, or the model can be  treated as a random variable with uncertainty in one or more of model structure, model  inputs and model parameters. We discuss the differences, and show how mean squared  error of prediction can be estimated in both cases. The results can be used to put  uncertainty estimates into a more general framework and to relate different uncertainty  estimates to one another and to overall prediction uncertainty. This should lead to a  better understanding of crop model prediction uncertainty and the underlying causes of  that uncertainty. This study was published as (Wallach et al. 2016)  
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  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ office @ Serial 2954  
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Author Calanca, P. url  openurl
  Title Modelling the impacts of seasonal drought on herbage growth under climate change Type Report
  Year 2016 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 8 Issue Pages SP8-3  
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  Abstract Conference presentation PDF  
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  Area Expedition Conference LiveM2016: International livestock modelling conference – Modelling grassland-livestock systems under climate change  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4837  
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Author Brilli, L.; Ferrise, R.; Dibari, C.; Bindi, M.; Bellocchi, G. url  openurl
  Title Needs on model improvement Type Report
  Year 2017 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 10 Issue Pages XC1.1-D  
  Keywords  
  Abstract The need to answer new scientific questions can be satisfied by an increased knowledge of physiological mechanisms which, in turn, can be used for improving the accuracy of simulations of process-based models. In this context, this report highlights areas that need to be further improved to facilitate the operational use of simulation models. It describes missing approaches within simulation models which, if implemented, would likely improve the representation of the dynamics of processes underlying different compartments of crop and grassland systems (e.g. plant growth and development, yield production, GHG emissions), as well as of the livestock production systems.  The following rationale has been used in the organization of this report. We first briefly introduced the need to improve the reliability of existing models. Then, we indicated climate change and its influence on the global carbon balance as the main issue to be addressed by existing crop and grassland (section 2), and livestock (section 3) models. In section 2, among the major aspects that if implemented may reduce the uncertainty inherent to model outputs, we suggested: i) quantifying the effects of climate extremes on biological systems; ii) modelling of multi-species sward; iii) coupling of pest and disease sub-models; iv) improvement of the carry-over effect. In section 3, as the most important aspects to consider in livestock models we indicated: i) impacts and dynamics of pathogens and disease; ii) heat stress effects on livestock; iii) effects on grassland productivity and nutritional values; iv) improvement of GHG emissions dynamics.  In Section 4, remarks are made concerning the need to implement the suggested aspects into the existing models.  
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  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4938  
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