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Kahiluoto, H.; Kaseva, J.; Balek, J.; Olesen, J.E.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Gobin, A.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Takac, J.; Ruget, F.; Ferrise, R.; Bezak, P.; Capellades, G.; Dibari, C.; Makinen, H.; Nendel, C.; Ventrella, D.; Rodriguez, A.; Bindi, M.; Trnka, M. |
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Title |
Decline in climate resilience of European wheat |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
Abbreviated Journal |
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. |
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Volume |
116 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
123-128 |
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Keywords |
wheat; cultivar; Europe; climate resilience; response diversity; Diversity; Weather; Growth; Shifts; Crops; Yield; Variability |
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Abstract |
Food security relies on the resilience of staple food crops to climatic variability and extremes, but the climate resilience of European wheat is unknown. A diversity of responses to disturbance is considered a key determinant of resilience. The capacity of a sole crop genotype to perform well under climatic variability is limited; therefore, a set of cultivars with diverse responses to weather conditions critical to crop yield is required. Here, we show a decline in the response diversity of wheat in farmers’ fields in most European countries after 2002-2009 based on 101,000 cultivar yield observations. Similar responses to weather were identified in cultivar trials among central European countries and southern European countries. A response diversity hotspot appeared in the trials in Slovakia, while response diversity “deserts” were identified in Czechia and Germany and for durum wheat in southern Europe. Positive responses to abundant precipitation were lacking. This assessment suggests that current breeding programs and cultivar selection practices do not sufficiently prepare for climatic uncertainty and variability. Consequently, the demand for climate resilience of staple food crops such as wheat must be better articulated. Assessments and communication of response diversity enable collective learning across supply chains. Increased awareness could foster governance of resilience through research and breeding programs, incentives, and regulation. |
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2019-01-17 |
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English |
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0027-8424 |
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Notes |
CropM, ft_macsur |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
5226 |
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Author |
Cammarano, D.; Rötter, P.; Ewert, F.; Palosuo, T.; Bindi, M.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Olesen, J.E.; Trnka, M.; van Ittersum, M.K.; Janssen, S.; Rivington, M.; Semenov, M.; Wallach, D.; Porter, J.R.; Stewart, D.; Verhagen, J.; Angulo, C.; Gaiser, T.; Nendel, C.; Martre, P.; de Wit, A. |
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Title |
Challenges for Agro-Ecosystem Modelling in Climate Change Risk Assessment for major European Crops and Farming systems |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
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Pages |
555-564 |
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Impacts World 2013, International Conference on Climate Change Effects, Potsdam, Germany, 2013-05-27 to 2013-05-30 |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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2765 |
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Author |
Nendel, C.; Wieland, R.; Mirschel, W.; Specka, X.; Kersebaum, K.-C. |
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Title |
Die Simulation von Winterweizenerträgen in Thüringen unter Verwendung von meteorologischen Daten unterschiedlicher räumlicher Auflösung |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2013 |
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CropM |
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33. GIL-Jahrestagung in Potsdam 2013 - Massendatenmanagement in der Agrar- und Ernährungswirtschaft, 2013-02-21 to 2013-02-21 |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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2680 |
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Author |
Kuhnert, M.; Yeluripati, J.; Smith, P.; Hoffmann, H.; Constantin, J.; Coucheney, E.; Dechow, R.; Eckersten, H.; Gaiser, T.; Grosz, B.; Haas, E.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Kiese, R.; Klatt, S.; Lewan, E.; Nendel, C.; Raynal, H.; Sosa, C.; Specka, X.; Teixeira, E.; Wang, E.; Weihermüller, L.; Zhao, G.; Zhao, Z.; Ogle, S.; Ewert, F. |
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Title |
Effects of climate data aggregation on regional net primary production modelling |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2016 |
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Toulouse (France) |
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8th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software (iEMSs), 2016-07-10 to 2016-10-13, Toulouse, France |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4896 |
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Author |
Tao, F.; Rötter, R.P.; Palosuo, T.; Hernández, C.G.; Mínguez, M.I.; Semenov, M.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Nendel, C.; Cammarano, D.; Hoffmann, H.; Ewert, F.; Dambreville, A.; Martre, P.; Rodríguez, L.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Gaiser, T.; Höhn, J.G.; Ferrise, R.; Bindi, M.; Schulman, A. |
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Title |
Using crop model ensembles to design future climate-resilient barley cultivars |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2016 |
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Berlin (Germany) |
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International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4898 |
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