| Records |
| Author |
Trnka, M.; Feng, S.; Semenov, M.A.; Olesen, J.E.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Roetter, R.P.; Semeradova, D.; Klem, K.; Huang, W.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Hlavinka, P.; Meitner, J.; Balek, J.; Havlik, P.; Buntgen, U. |
| Title |
Mitigation efforts will not fully alleviate the increase in water scarcity occurrence probability in wheat-producing areas |
Type |
Journal Article |
| Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Science Advances |
Abbreviated Journal |
Sci. Adv. |
| Volume |
5 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
eaau2406 |
| Keywords |
climate-change impacts; sub-saharan africa; atmospheric co2; crop; yields; drought; agriculture; variability; irrigation; adaptation; carbon |
| Abstract |
Global warming is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of severe water scarcity (SWS) events, which negatively affect rain-fed crops such as wheat, a key source of calories and protein for humans. Here, we develop a method to simultaneously quantify SWS over the world’s entire wheat-growing area and calculate the probabilities of multiple/sequential SWS events for baseline and future climates. Our projections show that, without climate change mitigation (representative concentration pathway 8.5), up to 60% of the current wheat-growing area will face simultaneous SWS events by the end of this century, compared to 15% today. Climate change stabilization in line with the Paris Agreement would substantially reduce the negative effects, but they would still double between 2041 and 2070 compared to current conditions. Future assessments of production shocks in food security should explicitly include the risk of severe, prolonged, and near- simultaneous droughts across key world wheat-producing areas. |
| Address |
2020-02-14 |
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Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language  |
English |
Summary Language |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
2375-2548 |
ISBN |
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Medium |
Article |
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| Notes |
CropM, ft_macsur |
Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
5227 |
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| Author |
Semenov, M.A.; Stratonovitch P |
| Title |
ELPIS: delivering local-scale climate scenarios for impact assessments. Impacts World 2013 |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2013 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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| Abstract |
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Place of Publication |
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Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISBN |
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Conference |
Impacts World 2013, International Conference on Climate Change Effects, Potsdam, Germany, 2013-05-27 to 2013-05-30 |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2817 |
| Permanent link to this record |
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| Author |
Nendel, C.; Thorburn, P.; Melzer, D.; Cerri, C.E.P.; Claessens, L.; Aggarwal, P.K.; Adam, M.; Angulo, C.; Asseng, S.; Baron, C.; Basso, B.; Bassu, S.; Bertuzzi, P.; Biernath, C.; Boogaard, H.; Boote, K.J.; Brisson, N.; Cammarano, D.; Conijn, S.; Corbeels, M.; Deryng, D.; Sanctis, G.D.; Doltra, J.; Durand, J.L.; Ewert, F.; Gayler, S.; Goldberg, R.; Grant, R.; Grassini, P.; Heng, L.; Hoek, S.B.; Hooker, J.A.U.-, L.A.H.; Ingwersen, J.; Izaurralde, C.; Jongschaap, R.; Kemanian, A.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Lizaso, J.; Makowski, D.; Martre, P.; Müller, C.; Kim, S.H.; Kumar, S.N.; O’Leary, G.; Olesen, J.E.; Osborne, T.; Palosuo, T.; Pravia, M.V.; Priesack, E.; Ripoche, D.A.U.-, R.P.R.; Sau, F.; Semenov, M.A.; Shcherbak, I.; Steduto, P.; Stöckle, C.; Stratonovitch, P.; Streck, T.; Supit, I.; Tao, F.L.; Teixeira, E.; Timlin, D.; Travasso, M.; Waha, K.; Wallach, D.; White, J.W.; Wolf, J. |
| Title |
Soil nitrogen mineralisation simulated by crop models across different environments and the consequences for model improvement |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2016 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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| Keywords |
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| Address |
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Place of Publication |
Berlin (Germany) |
Editor |
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Original Title |
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Conference |
International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4903 |
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| Author |
Semenov, M.A.; Stratonovitch, P. |
| Title |
Designing wheat ideotypes for a changing climate |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2016 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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| Keywords |
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Thesis |
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Place of Publication |
Berlin (Germany) |
Editor |
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Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
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ISBN |
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Medium |
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| Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4918 |
| Permanent link to this record |
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| Author |
Fronzek, S.; Pirttioja, N.; Carter, T.R.; Bindi, M.; Hoffmann, H.; Palosuo, T.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Tao, F.; Trnka, M.; Acutis, M.; Asseng, S.; Baranowski, P.; Basso, B.; Bodin, P.; Buis, S.; Cammarano, D.; Deligios, P.; Destain, M.-F.; Dumont, B.; Ewert, F.; Ferrise, R.; François, L.; Gaiser, T.; Hlavinka, P.; Jacquemin, I.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Kollas, C.; Krzyszczak, J.; Lorite, I.J.; Minet, J.; Minguez, M.I.; Montesino, M.; Moriondo, M.; Müller, C.; Nendel, C.; Öztürk, I.; Perego, A.; Rodríguez, A.; Ruane, A.C.; Ruget, F.; Sanna, M.; Semenov, M.A.; Slawinski, C.; Stratonovitch, P.; Supit, I.; Waha, K.; Wang, E.; Wu, L.; Zhao, Z.; Rötter, R.P. |
| Title |
Classifying simulated wheat yield responses to changes in temperature and precipitation across a European transect |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2016 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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| Keywords |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
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Place of Publication |
Berlin (Germany) |
Editor |
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Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISBN |
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Medium |
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| Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4921 |
| Permanent link to this record |
