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Dono, G.; Raffaele, C.; Luca, G.; Roggero, P.P. |
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Title |
Income Impacts of Climate Change: Irrigated Farming in the Mediterranean and Expected Changes in Probability of Favorable and Adverse Weather Conditions |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
German Journal of Agricultural Economics |
Abbreviated Journal |
German Journal of Agricultural Economics |
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Volume |
63 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
177-186 |
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Keywords  |
discrete stochastic programming; rdp measures to adapt to climate change; economic impact of climate change; irrigated agriculture and climate change; insurance tools for adaptation to climate change; water markets; risk; variability; management; systems |
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Abstract |
EU rural development policy (RDP) regulation 1305/2013 aims to protect farmers’ incomes from ongoing change of climate variability (CCV), and the increase in frequency of adverse climatic events. An income stabilization tool (IST) is provided to compensate drastic drops in income, including those caused by climatic events. The present study examines some aspect of its application focussing on Mediterranean irrigation area where frequent water shortages may generate significant income reductions in the current climate conditions, and may be further exacerbated by climate change. This enhanced loss of income in the future would occur due to a change in climate variability. This change would appreciably reduce the probability of weather conditions that are favourable for irrigation, but would not significantly increase either the probability of unfavourable weather conditions or the magnitude of their impact. As the IST and other insurance tools that protect against adversity and catastrophic events are only activated under extreme conditions, farmers may not consider them to be suitable in dealing with the new climate regime. This would leave a portion of the financial resources allocated by the RDP unused, resulting in less support for climate change adaptation. |
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0002-1121 |
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CropM, TradeM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4669 |
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Dono, G.; Cortignani, R.; Doro, L.; Giraldo, L.; Ledda, L.; Pasqui, M.; Roggero, P.P. |
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Title |
An integrated assessment of the impacts of changing climate variability on agricultural productivity and profitability in an irrigated Mediterranean catchment |
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Journal Article |
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2013 |
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Water Resource Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Water Resource Manage. |
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27 |
Issue |
10 |
Pages |
3607-3622 |
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Keywords |
discrete stochastic programming; climate change variability; adaptation to climate change; net evapotranspiration and irrigation requirements; water availability; epic crops model; economic impact of climate change; precipitation; uncertainty; region; series; yield; model; scale; wheat; gis |
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Climate change is likely to have a profound effect on many agricultural variables, although the extent of its influence will vary over the course of the annual farm management cycle. Consequently, the effect of different and interconnected physical, technical and economic factors must be modeled in order to estimate the effects of climate change on agricultural productivity. Such modeling commonly makes use of indicators that summarize the among environmental factors that are considered when farmers plan their activities. This study uses net evapotranspiration (ETN), estimated using EPIC, as a proxy index for the physical factors considered by farmers when managing irrigation. Recent trends suggest that the probability distribution function of ETN may continue to change in the near future due to changes in the irrigation needs of crops. Also, water availability may continue to vary due to changes in the rainfall regime. The impacts of the uncertainties related to these changes on costs are evaluated using a Discrete Stochastic Programming model representing an irrigable Mediterranean area where limited water is supplied from a reservoir. In this context, adaptation to climate change can be best supported by improvements to the collective irrigation systems, rather than by measures aimed at individual farms such as those contained within the rural development policy. |
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0920-4741 |
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TradeM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4487 |
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Ewert, F.; van Bussel, L.G.J.; Zhao, G.; Hoffmann, H.; Gaiser, T.; Specka, X.; Nendel, C.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Sosa, C.; Lewan, E.; Yeluripati, J.; Kuhnert, M.; Tao, F.; Rötter, R.P.; Constantin, J.; Raynal, H.; Wallach, D.; Teixeira, E.; Grosz, B.; Bach, M.; Doro, L.; Roggero, P.P.; Zhao, Z.; Wang, E.; Kiese, R.; Haas, E.; Eckersten, H.; Trombi, G.; Bindi, M.; Klein, C.; Biernath, C.; Heinlein, F.; Priesack, E.; Cammarano, D.; Asseng, S.; Elliott, J.; Glotter, M.; Basso, B.; Baigorria, G.A.; Romero, C.C.; Moriondo, M. |
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Title |
Uncertainties in Scaling up Crop Models for Large Area Climate-change Impact Assessments |
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Book Chapter |
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2015 |
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261-277 |
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CropM; |
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Imperial College Press |
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London |
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Rosenzweig, C.; Hillel, D. |
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Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Integrated Crop and Economic Assessments — Joint Publication with American Society of Agronomy, Crop Science Society of America, and Soil Science Society of America (In 2 Parts) |
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ICP Series on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, |
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2427 |
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Roggero, P.P. |
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Title |
Oristano, Sardinia, Italy: Winners and losers from climate change in agriculture: a case study in the Mediterranean basin |
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2015 |
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6 |
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Sp6-7 |
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CropM |
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Focus questions • How to support effective adaptive responses to CC and stimulate proactive attitudes of farmers, policymakers & researchers? • How to co-construct the nature of the issues about CC adaptation? The «Oristanese» case study • Very diversified agricultural district in a Mediterranean context o Irrigated and rainfed farming systems o Variety of cropping systems, intensity levels, farm size • Multiple stakeholders o Cooperative agro-food system o Producers’ organizations (rice, horticulture) o Variety of extensive pastoral systems Emerging outcome • The dairy cattle coop is developing a new win-win pathway linking hi-input dairy cattle farming with low input beef cattle grazing systems • The local government is investing in the EIP for supporting the local beef production chain to reduce meat imports and enhance pasture biodiversity and ecosystem services (eg wildfire prevention) Emerging challenges Adaptive responses as co-evolution pathways • design social learning spaces for researchers, stakeholders and policy makers • combining integrated assessment modeling and social learning facilitation |
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Brussels |
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Climate-change impacts on farming systems in the next decades — why worry when you have CAP? A FACCE MACSUR workshop for policymakers, 2015-05-06 to 2015-05-06, Brussels |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2750 |
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Author |
Dono, G.; Cortignani, R.; Giraldo, L.; Roggero, P.P. |
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Title |
Climate change and irrigated farming in the Mediterranean: lower expectation of favorable conditions to profitability rather than harshening of adverse conditions |
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CropM |
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