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Author |
Kopacz, M.; Twardy, S. |
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Title |
Analysis of changes of permanent grasslands in the Carpathians based on the example of upper Dunajec and Raba river catchments |
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Report |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Water-Environment-Rural Areas |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
133 |
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91-133 |
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CropM |
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ITP Falenty |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2072 |
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Author |
Smoron, S. |
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Title |
Dynamics of the mountain meadow yielding in period of 25 years after fertilization abandonment |
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Report |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Water-Environment-Rural Areas |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
132 |
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Pages |
111-120 |
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CropM |
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ITP Falenty |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2073 |
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Author |
Sandhu, H.; Porter, J.R.; Wratten, S. |
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Title |
Experimental assessment of ecosystem services in agriculture |
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Book Chapter |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
122-135 |
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Keywords |
CropM; |
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Wratten, S.; Sandhu, H.; Cullen, R.; Costanza, R. |
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Series Title |
Ecosystem Services in Agricultural and Urban Landscapes |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2786 |
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Author |
Heinke, J.; Ostberg, S.; Schaphoff, S.; Frieler, K.; Müller, C.; Gerten, D.; Meinshausen, M.; Lucht, W. |
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Title |
A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Geoscientific Model Development |
Abbreviated Journal |
Geosci. Model Dev. |
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Volume |
6 |
Issue |
5 |
Pages |
1689-1703 |
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Keywords |
dangerous anthropogenic interference; vegetation model; carbon-cycle; emissions; targets |
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Abstract |
In the ongoing political debate on climate change, global mean temperature change (Delta T-glob) has become the yardstick by which mitigation costs, impacts from unavoided climate change, and adaptation requirements are discussed. For a scientifically informed discourse along these lines, systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of Delta T-glob are required. The current availability of climate change scenarios constrains this type of assessment to a narrow range of temperature change and/or a reduced ensemble of climate models. Here, a newly composed dataset of climate change scenarios is presented that addresses the specific requirements for global assessments of climate change impacts as a function of Delta T-glob. A pattern-scaling approach is applied to extract generalised patterns of spatially explicit change in temperature, precipitation and cloudiness from 19 Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs). The patterns are combined with scenarios of global mean temperature increase obtained from the reduced-complexity climate model MAGICC6 to create climate scenarios covering warming levels from 1.5 to 5 degrees above pre-industrial levels around the year 2100. The patterns are shown to sufficiently maintain the original AOGCMs’ climate change properties, even though they, necessarily, utilise a simplified relationships between Delta T-glob and changes in local climate properties. The dataset (made available online upon final publication of this paper) facilitates systematic analyses of climate change impacts as it covers a wider and finer-spaced range of climate change scenarios than the original AOGCM simulations. |
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English |
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ISSN |
1991-9603 |
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Article |
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Notes |
CropM |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4490 |
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Author |
Dono, G.; Cortignani, R.; Doro, L.; Giraldo, L.; Ledda, L.; Pasqui, M.; Roggero, P.P. |
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Title |
An integrated assessment of the impacts of changing climate variability on agricultural productivity and profitability in an irrigated Mediterranean catchment |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Water Resource Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Water Resource Manage. |
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Volume |
27 |
Issue |
10 |
Pages |
3607-3622 |
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Keywords |
discrete stochastic programming; climate change variability; adaptation to climate change; net evapotranspiration and irrigation requirements; water availability; epic crops model; economic impact of climate change; precipitation; uncertainty; region; series; yield; model; scale; wheat; gis |
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Abstract |
Climate change is likely to have a profound effect on many agricultural variables, although the extent of its influence will vary over the course of the annual farm management cycle. Consequently, the effect of different and interconnected physical, technical and economic factors must be modeled in order to estimate the effects of climate change on agricultural productivity. Such modeling commonly makes use of indicators that summarize the among environmental factors that are considered when farmers plan their activities. This study uses net evapotranspiration (ETN), estimated using EPIC, as a proxy index for the physical factors considered by farmers when managing irrigation. Recent trends suggest that the probability distribution function of ETN may continue to change in the near future due to changes in the irrigation needs of crops. Also, water availability may continue to vary due to changes in the rainfall regime. The impacts of the uncertainties related to these changes on costs are evaluated using a Discrete Stochastic Programming model representing an irrigable Mediterranean area where limited water is supplied from a reservoir. In this context, adaptation to climate change can be best supported by improvements to the collective irrigation systems, rather than by measures aimed at individual farms such as those contained within the rural development policy. |
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English |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0920-4741 |
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Notes |
TradeM |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4487 |
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