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Author |
Murat, M.; Malinowska, I.; Hoffmann, H.; Baranowski, P. |
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Title |
Statistical modelling of agrometeorological time series by exponential smoothing |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2016 |
Publication |
International Agrophysics |
Abbreviated Journal |
International Agrophysics |
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Volume |
30 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
57-65 |
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Keywords  |
exponential smoothing; meteorological time series; statistical forecasting; daily temperature records; weighted moving averages; climate-change; prediction; forecasts; state; weather |
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Abstract |
Meteorological time series are used in modelling agrophysical processes of the soil-plant-atmosphere system which determine plant growth and yield. Additionally, longterm meteorological series are used in climate change scenarios. Such studies often require forecasting or projection of meteorological variables, eg the projection of occurrence of the extreme events. The aim of the article was to determine the most suitable exponential smoothing models to generate forecast using data on air temperature, wind speed, and precipitation time series in Jokioinen (Finland), Dikopshof (Germany), Lleida (Spain), and Lublin (Poland). These series exhibit regular additive seasonality or non-seasonality without any trend, which is confirmed by their autocorrelation functions and partial autocorrelation functions. The most suitable models were indicated by the smallest mean absolute error and the smallest root mean squared error. |
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English |
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0236-8722 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4728 |
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Kuhnert, M.; Yeluripati, J.; Smith, P.; Hoffmann, H.; Constantin, J.; Coucheney, E.; Dechow, R.; Eckersten, H.; Gaiser, T.; Grosz, B.; Haas, E.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Kiese, R.; Klatt, S.; Lewan, E.; Nendel, C.; Raynal, H.; Sosa, C.; Specka, X.; Teixeira, E.; Wang, E.; Weihermüller, L.; Zhao, G.; Zhao, Z.; Ewert, F. |
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Title |
Impacts of soil and weather data aggregation in spatial modelling of net primary production of croplands |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2016 |
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CropM; |
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Belrin (Germany) |
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International Crop Modelling Symposium iCropM 2016, 2016-03-15 to 2016-03-17, Belrin |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2579 |
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Author |
Kuhnert, M.; Yeluripati, J.; Smith, P.; Hoffmann, H.; van Oijen, M.; Zhao, G.; Constantin, J.; Raynal, H.; Coucheney, E.; Lewan, E.; Eckersten, H.; Specka, X.; Sosa, C.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Nendel, C.; Grosz, B.; Dechow, R.; Kiese, R.; Haas, E.; Klatt, S.; Teixeira, E.; Zhao, Z.; Wang, E.; Weihermüller, L.; Gaiser, T.; Ewert, F. |
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Title |
Impact of climate aggregation over different scales on regional NPP modelling |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2016 |
Publication |
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CropM; |
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Vienna (Austria) |
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European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016, 2016-04-17 to 2016-04-22, Vienna |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2578 |
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Author |
Ewert, F.; van Bussel, L.G.J.; Zhao, G.; Hoffmann, H.; Gaiser, T.; Specka, X.; Nendel, C.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Sosa, C.; Lewan, E.; Yeluripati, J.; Kuhnert, M.; Tao, F.; Rötter, R.P.; Constantin, J.; Raynal, H.; Wallach, D.; Teixeira, E.; Grosz, B.; Bach, M.; Doro, L.; Roggero, P.P.; Zhao, Z.; Wang, E.; Kiese, R.; Haas, E.; Eckersten, H.; Trombi, G.; Bindi, M.; Klein, C.; Biernath, C.; Heinlein, F.; Priesack, E.; Cammarano, D.; Asseng, S.; Elliott, J.; Glotter, M.; Basso, B.; Baigorria, G.A.; Romero, C.C.; Moriondo, M. |
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Title |
Uncertainties in Scaling up Crop Models for Large Area Climate-change Impact Assessments |
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Book Chapter |
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Year |
2015 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
261-277 |
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Keywords |
CropM; |
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Imperial College Press |
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London |
Editor |
Rosenzweig, C.; Hillel, D. |
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Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Integrated Crop and Economic Assessments — Joint Publication with American Society of Agronomy, Crop Science Society of America, and Soil Science Society of America (In 2 Parts) |
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ICP Series on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2427 |
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Author |
Ewert, F.; Hoffmann, H.; WP3 partners |
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Title |
Scaling up crop models for large area application |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2015 |
Publication |
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CropM; |
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Place of Publication |
Minneapolis (U.S.A.) |
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AgMIP and partners session at tripartite meetings (ASA-CSSA-SSA) at Minneapolis/USA, 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17, Minneapolis |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2426 |
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