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Reidsma, P.; Bakker, M.M.; Kanellopoulos, A.; Alam, S.J.; Paas, W.; Kros, J.; de Vries, W. |
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Assessing changes in farm management and farm structural change and impacts on sustainable development in a rural area in the Netherlands |
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Conference Article |
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2015 |
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5th International Symposium for Farming Systems Design. Montpellier, 2015-09-07 to 2015-09-09 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2742 |
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Author |
Porter, J.R.; Christensen, S. |
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Title |
Deconstructing crop processes and models via identities |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Plant Cell and Environment |
Abbreviated Journal |
Plant Cell and Environment |
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36 |
Issue |
11 |
Pages |
1919-1925 |
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Biomass; Carbon Dioxide/pharmacology; Climate Change; Crops, Agricultural/drug effects/*physiology; *Models, Biological; Kaya-Porter identity; crop models; deconstruction; resource use efficiency |
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Abstract |
This paper is part review and part opinion piece; it has three parts of increasing novelty and speculation in approach. The first presents an overview of how some of the major crop simulation models approach the issue of simulating the responses of crops to changing climatic and weather variables, mainly atmospheric CO2 concentration and increased and/or varying temperatures. It illustrates an important principle in models of a single cause having alternative effects and vice versa. The second part suggests some features, mostly missing in current crop models, that need to be included in the future, focussing on extreme events such as high temperature or extreme drought. The final opinion part is speculative but novel. It describes an approach to deconstruct resource use efficiencies into their constituent identities or elements based on the Kaya-Porter identity, each of which can be examined for responses to climate and climatic change. We give no promise that the final part is correct’, but we hope it can be a stimulation to thought, hypothesis and experiment, and perhaps a new modelling approach. |
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2016-10-31 |
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0140-7791 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4799 |
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Porter, J.R.; Xie, L.; Challinor, A.J.; Cochrane, K.; Howden, S.M.; Iqbal, M.M.; Lobell, D.B.; Travasso, M.I. |
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Food security and food production systems |
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Book Chapter |
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Year |
2014 |
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485-533 |
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CropM |
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Cambridge University Press |
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Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA |
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Field, C.B.; Barros, V.R.; Dokken, D.J.; Mach, K.J.; Mastrandrea, M.D.; Bilir, T.E.; Chatterjee, M.; Ebi, K.L.; Estrada, Y.O.; Genova, R.C.; Girma, B.; Kissel, E.S.; Levy, A.N.; MacCracken, S.; Mastrandrea, P.R.; White, L.L. |
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Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) |
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Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vuln |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2734 |
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Rosenzweig, C.; Elliott, J.; Deryng, D.; Ruane, A.C.; Müller, C.; Arneth, A.; Boote, K.J.; Folberth, C.; Glotter, M.; Khabarov, N.; Neumann, K.; Piontek, F.; Pugh, T.A.; Schmid, E.; Stehfest, E.; Yang, H.; Jones, J.W. |
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Title |
Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
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Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. |
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111 |
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9 |
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3268-3273 |
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Agriculture/*methods/statistics & numerical data; *Climate Change; Computer Simulation; Crops, Agricultural/*growth & development; Forecasting; Geography; *Models, Theoretical; Nitrogen/*analysis; Risk Assessment; Temperature; AgMIP; Isi-mip; agriculture; climate impacts; food security |
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Here we present the results from an intercomparison of multiple global gridded crop models (GGCMs) within the framework of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project and the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project. Results indicate strong negative effects of climate change, especially at higher levels of warming and at low latitudes; models that include explicit nitrogen stress project more severe impacts. Across seven GGCMs, five global climate models, and four representative concentration pathways, model agreement on direction of yield changes is found in many major agricultural regions at both low and high latitudes; however, reducing uncertainty in sign of response in mid-latitude regions remains a challenge. Uncertainties related to the representation of carbon dioxide, nitrogen, and high temperature effects demonstrated here show that further research is urgently needed to better understand effects of climate change on agricultural production and to devise targeted adaptation strategies. |
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2016-10-31 |
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1091-6490 (Electronic) 0027-8424 (Linking) |
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CropM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4801 |
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Porter, J.R.; Soussana, J.-F.; Fereres, E.; Long, S.; Mohren, F.; Peltonen-Sainio, P.; von Braun, J. |
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Title |
European Perspectives: An Agronomic Science Plan for Food Security in a Changing Climate |
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Book Chapter |
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2012 |
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Co-Published With Imperial College Press |
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Hillel, D.; Rosenzweig, C. |
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Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: Global and Regional Aspects and Implications |
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ICP Series on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2732 |
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