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Author |
Prange, S.; Vohland, K.; Conradt, T.; Hattermann, F.F. |
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Title |
Klimabedingte Veränderungen der Abflussdynamik von ausgewählten deutschen Fließgewässern und ihre naturschutzfachliche Bedeutung. In: Schutzgebiete Deutschlands im Klimawandel – Risiken und Handlungsoptionen |
Type |
Book Chapter |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
55-69 |
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Keywords |
Xc |
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Publisher |
Bundesamt für Naturschutz |
Place of Publication |
Bonn-Bad Godesberg |
Editor |
Badeck, F.; Böhning-Gaese, K.; Ellwanger, G.; Hanspach, J.; Ibisch, P.L.; Klotz, S.; Kreft, S.; Kühn, I.; Schröder, E.; Trautmann, S.; Cramer, W. |
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Series Title |
Naturschutz und Biologische Vielfalt |
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Series Volume |
129 |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2736 |
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Author |
Elliott, J.; Deryng, D.; Müller, C.; Frieler, K.; Konzmann, M.; Gerten, D.; Glotter, M.; Flörke, M.; Wada, Y.; Best, N.; Eisner, S.; Fekete, B.M.; Folberth, C.; Foster, I.; Gosling, S.N.; Haddeland, I.; Khabarov, N.; Ludwig, F.; Masaki, Y.; Olin, S.; Rosenzweig, C.; Ruane, A.C.; Satoh, Y.; Schmid, E.; Stacke, T.; Tang, Q.; Wisser, D. |
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Title |
Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
Abbreviated Journal |
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. |
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Volume |
111 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
3239-3244 |
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Keywords |
Agricultural Irrigation/economics/*methods; Agriculture/economics/*methods; Carbon Dioxide/analysis; *Climate Change; Computer Simulation; Forecasting; *Models, Theoretical; Water Supply/*statistics & numerical data; adaptation; agriculture; hydrology; uncertainty |
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Abstract |
We compare ensembles of water supply and demand projections from 10 global hydrological models and six global gridded crop models. These are produced as part of the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project, with coordination from the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project, and driven by outputs of general circulation models run under representative concentration pathway 8.5 as part of the Fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Models project that direct climate impacts to maize, soybean, wheat, and rice involve losses of 400-1,400 Pcal (8-24% of present-day total) when CO2 fertilization effects are accounted for or 1,400-2,600 Pcal (24-43%) otherwise. Freshwater limitations in some irrigated regions (western United States; China; and West, South, and Central Asia) could necessitate the reversion of 20-60 Mha of cropland from irrigated to rainfed management by end-of-century, and a further loss of 600-2,900 Pcal of food production. In other regions (northern/eastern United States, parts of South America, much of Europe, and South East Asia) surplus water supply could in principle support a net increase in irrigation, although substantial investments in irrigation infrastructure would be required. |
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Address |
2016-10-31 |
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English |
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ISSN |
0027-8424 1091-6490 |
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Article |
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Notes |
CropM |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4790 |
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Author |
Mansouri, M. |
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Title |
Modeling and Prediction of Time-Varying Environmental Data Using Advanced Bayesian Methods |
Type |
Book Chapter |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
112-137 |
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Keywords |
CropM |
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Publisher |
IGI Global |
Place of Publication |
Hershey PA |
Editor |
Masegosa, P.; Villacorta, C.; Cruz-Corona, S.; Garcia-Cascales, M.; Lamata, J.; Verdegay, A. |
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Series Title |
Exploring Innovative and Successful Applications of Soft Computing |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2625 |
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Author |
Del Prado, A.; Crosson, P.; Olesen, J.E.; Rotz, C.A. |
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Title |
Whole-farm models to quantify greenhouse gas emissions and their potential use for linking climate change mitigation and adaptation in temperate grassland ruminant-based farming systems |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Animal |
Abbreviated Journal |
Animal |
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Volume |
7 Suppl 2 |
Issue |
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Pages |
373-385 |
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Abstract |
The farm level is the most appropriate scale for evaluating options for mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, because the farm represents the unit at which management decisions in livestock production are made. To date, a number of whole farm modelling approaches have been developed to quantify GHG emissions and explore climate change mitigation strategies for livestock systems. This paper analyses the limitations and strengths of the different existing approaches for modelling GHG mitigation by considering basic model structures, approaches for simulating GHG emissions from various farm components and the sensitivity of GHG outputs and mitigation measures to different approaches. Potential challenges for linking existing models with the simulation of impacts and adaptation measures under climate change are explored along with a brief discussion of the effects on other ecosystem services. |
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English |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1751-7311 |
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Notes |
LiveM |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4765 |
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Author |
Knopik, L.; Bojar, W. |
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Title |
Mozliwosci zastosowania metody wielo – agentowej w analizie wybranych modeli (Possibilities of multiagent appliacation for analysis of selected models) |
Type |
Book Chapter |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
199-208 |
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Keywords |
TradeM |
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Publisher |
Warsaw Technical University |
Place of Publication |
Warsaw |
Editor |
Rostek, K. |
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Series Title |
Zarzadzanie wiedza w tworzeniu przewagi konkurencyjnej (Knowledge management in creating comparative advantage) |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2547 |
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