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Author |
te Roller, J. |
Title |
Agricultural model for the Nile Basin Decision Support System |
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2013 |
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MACSUR TradeM workshop: Exploring new ideas for trade and agriculture model integration for assessing the impacts of climate change on food security, The Natural Resource and Environmental Research Center (NRERC), University of Haifa, Israel, 2013-03-03 t |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2856 |
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Author |
Viaggi, D. |
Title |
Cross-cutting results of session 3 on cross-theme studies |
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2013 |
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MACSUR TradeM Workshop on Global Food Security Challenges – European Research approaches. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Müncheberg, Germany, 2013-11-18 to 2013-11-20 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2880 |
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Author |
Wacker, F. |
Title |
International Cooperation, World Food Affairs |
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Conference Article |
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2013 |
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TradeM |
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MACSUR TradeM Workshop on Global Food Security Challenges – European Research approaches. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Müncheberg, Germany, 2013-11-18 to 2013-11-20 |
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2886 |
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Author |
Waldemar, B. |
Title |
WP1 tasks – tasks of WP1 package |
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2012 |
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TradeM |
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The first meeting of the TradeM Steering Committee, 2012-09-05 to 2012-09-05 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2890 |
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Schmitz, C.; Kreidenweis, U.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Popp, A.; Krause, M.; Dietrich, J.P.; Müller, C. |
Title |
Agricultural trade and tropical deforestation: interactions and related policy options |
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Journal Article |
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2014 |
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Regional Environmental Change |
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Reg Environ Change |
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15 |
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8 |
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1757-1772 |
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Land-use change; Trade liberalisation; Tropical deforestation; Forest; protection; Agricultural productivity growth; land-use; brazilian amazon; co2 concentrations; carbon emissions; conservation; climate; mitigation; forests; impact; growth; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
Abstract |
The extensive clearing of tropical forests throughout past decades has been partly assigned to increased trade in agricultural goods. Since further trade liberalisation can be expected, remaining rainforests are likely to face additional threats with negative implications for climate mitigation and the local environment. We apply a spatially explicit economic land-use model coupled to a biophysical vegetation model to examine linkages and associated policies between trade and tropical deforestation in the future. Results indicate that further trade liberalisation leads to an expansion of deforestation in Amazonia due to comparative advantages of agriculture in South America. Globally, between 30 and 60 million ha (5-10 %) of tropical rainforests would be cleared additionally, leading to 20-40 Gt additional emissions by 2050. By applying different forest protection policies, those values could be reduced substantially. Most effective would be the inclusion of avoided deforestation into a global emissions trading scheme. Carbon prices corresponding to the concentration target of 550 ppm would prevent deforestation after 2020. Investing in agricultural productivity reduces pressure on tropical forests without the necessity of direct protection. In general, additional trade-induced demand from developed and emerging countries should be compensated by international efforts to protect natural resources in tropical regions. |
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2016-10-31 |
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English |
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1436-3798 1436-378x |
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CropM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4810 |
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