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Author |
Zimmermann, A.; Britz, W.; Adenäuer, M.; Heckelei, T. |
Title |
Food Security Assessment with CAPRI |
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Conference Article |
Year |
2013 |
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TradeM |
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MACSUR TradeM workshop: Exploring new ideas for trade and agriculture model integration for assessing the impacts of climate change on food security, The Natural Resource and Environmental Research Center (NRERC), University of Haifa, Israel, 2013-03-03 t |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2931 |
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Author |
Zimmermann, A.; Adenäuer, M. |
Title |
Exploring yield trends and gaps in the EU |
Type |
Conference Article |
Year |
2014 |
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TradeM; |
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Hurdal (Norway) |
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MACSUR TradeM International Workshop »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 2014-11-25 to 2014-11-27, Hurdal |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2928 |
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Author |
Zimmermann, A. |
Title |
Yield trends and variability in the EU |
Type |
Conference Article |
Year |
2015 |
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TradeM |
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Reading (United Kingdom) |
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MACSUR Final Conference, 2015-04-08 to 2015-04-10, Reading |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2927 |
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Author |
Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Rodriguez, A.; Dosio, A.; Goodess, C.M.; Harpham, C.; Minguez, M.I.; Sanchez, E. |
Title |
Comparing correction methods of RCM outputs for improving crop impact projections in the Iberian Peninsula for 21st century |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2016 |
Publication |
Climatic Change |
Abbreviated Journal |
Clim. Change |
Volume |
134 |
Issue |
1-2 |
Pages |
283-297 |
Keywords |
regional climate model; bias correction; weather generator; circulation model; simulations; temperature; precipitation; ensemble; uncertainty; extremes |
Abstract |
Assessment of climate change impacts on crops in regions of complex orography such as the Iberian Peninsula (IP) requires climate model output which is able to describe accurately the observed climate. The high resolution of output provided by Regional Climate Models (RCMs) is expected to be a suitable tool to describe regional and local climatic features, although their simulation results may still present biases. For these reasons, we compared several post-processing methods to correct or reduce the biases of RCM simulations from the ENSEMBLES project for the IP. The bias-corrected datasets were also evaluated in terms of their applicability and consequences in improving the results of a crop model to simulate maize growth and development at two IP locations, using this crop as a reference for summer cropping systems in the region. The use of bias-corrected climate runs improved crop phenology and yield simulation overall and reduced the inter-model variability and thus the uncertainty. The number of observational stations underlying each reference observational dataset used to correct the bias affected the correction performance. Although no single technique showed to be the best one, some methods proved to be more adequate for small initial biases, while others were useful when initial biases were so large as to prevent data application for impact studies. An initial evaluation of the climate data, the bias correction/reduction method and the consequences for impact assessment would be needed to design the most robust, reduced uncertainty ensemble for a specific combination of location, crop, and crop management. |
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2016-10-31 |
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English |
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0165-0009 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4805 |
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Author |
Mandryk, M.; Reidsma, P.; Kanellopoulos, A.; Groot, J.C.J.; van Ittersum, M.K. |
Title |
The role of farmers’ objectives in current farm practices and adaptation preferences: a case study in Flevoland, the Netherlands |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Regional Environmental Change |
Abbreviated Journal |
Reg Environ Change |
Volume |
14 |
Issue |
4 |
Pages |
1463-1478 |
Keywords |
multi-criteria decision-making; multi-objective optimization; agriculture; arable farm; vegetable farms; climate-change; south uruguay; land-use; design; agriculture; model; management; options; systems |
Abstract |
The diversity in farmers’ objectives and responses to external drivers is usually not considered in integrated assessment studies that investigate impacts and adaptation to climate and socio-economic change. Here, we present an approach to assess how farmers’ stated objectives relate to their currently implemented practices and to preferred adaptation options, and we discuss what this implies for assessments of future changes. We based our approach on a combination of multi-criteria decision-making methods. We consistently assessed the importance of farmers’ objectives and adaptation preferences from what farmers say (based on interviews), from what farmers actually do (by analysing current farm performance) and from what farmers want (through a selected alternative farm plan). Our study was performed for six arable farms in Flevoland, a province in the Netherlands. Based on interviews with farmers, we reduced the long list of possible objectives to the most important ones. The objectives we assessed included maximization of economic result and soil organic matter, and minimization of gross margin variance, working hours and nitrogen balance. In our sample, farmers’ stated preferences in objectives were often not fully reflected in realized farming practices. Adaptation preferences of farmers largely resembled their current performance, but generally involved a trend towards stated preferences. Our results suggest that in Flevoland, although farmers do have more objectives, in practical decision-making they focus on economic result maximization, while for strategic decision-making they account for objectives influencing long-term performance and indicators associated with sustainability, in this case soil organic matter. |
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2016-10-31 |
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English |
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1436-3798 1436-378x |
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CropM |
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no |
Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4794 |
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