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Author (down) Müller, C., Elliott J openurl 
  Title AgMIP’s Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords CropM  
  Abstract  
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  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
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  Area Expedition Conference MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2668  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author (down) Müller, C. openurl 
  Title Impacts of Climate Change and Agricultural Modeling Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords CropM  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference Capacity Building Workshop for Regional Scientists Turn Down the Heat III: Regional Analysis (MNA/LAC/ECA), The Case for Resilience, Potsdam, Germany, 2014-03-11 to 2014-03-13  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2669  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author (down) Mula, L. url  openurl
  Title Adaptation scenarios of Mediterranean forage systems to climate change Type Book Whole
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Corporate Author Thesis Ph.D. thesis  
  Publisher University of Sassari Place of Publication Sassari Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title PhD  
  Series Volume PhD Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5150  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author (down) Mueller, C. url  openurl
  Title A crop modeling response to economists’ wishlists Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords  
  Abstract Assessments of climate change impacts on agricultural markets and land-use patterns rely on quantification of climate change impacts on the spatial patterns of land productivity. We supply a set of climate impact scenarios on agricultural land productivity derived from two climate models and two biophysical crop growth models to account for some of the uncertainty inherent in climate and impact models. Aggregation in space and time leads to information losses that can determine climate change impacts on agricultural markets and land-use patterns because often aggregation is across steep gradients from low to high impacts or from increases to decreases. The four climate change impact scenarios supplied here were designed to represent the most significant impacts (high emission scenario only, assumed ineffectiveness of carbon dioxide fertilization on agricultural yields, no adjustments in management) but are consistent with the assumption that changes in agricultural practices are covered in the economic models. Globally, production of individual crops decrease by 10 to 38% under these climate change scenarios, with large uncertainties in spatial patterns that are determined by both the uncertainty in climate projections and the choice of impact model. This uncertainty in climate impact on crop productivity needs to be considered by economic assessments of climate change.  
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  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference  
  Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5048  
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Author (down) Montesino-San Martín, M.; Olesen, J.E.; Porter, J.R. doi  openurl
  Title A genotype, environment and management (GxExM) analysis of adaptation in winter wheat to climate change in Denmark Type Journal Article
  Year 2014 Publication Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Abbreviated Journal Agricultural and Forest Meteorology  
  Volume 187 Issue Pages 1-13  
  Keywords Winter wheat; Climate change; Adaptation; Uncertainty; Europe; food security; model hadgem1; physical-properties; regional climate; change impacts; field-scale; land-use; yield; nitrogen; variability  
  Abstract Wheat yields in Europe have shown stagnating trends during the last two decades, partly attributed to climate change. Such developments challenge the needs for increased production, in particular at higher latitudes, to meet increasing global demands and expected productivity reductions at lower latitudes. Climate change projections from three General Circulation Models or GCMs (UKMO-HadGEM1, INM-GM3.0 and CSIRO-Mk3.1) for the A1FI SIZES emission scenario for 2000 to 2100 were downscaled at a northern latitude location (Foulum, Denmark) using LARS-WG5.3. The scenarios accounted for changes in temperature, precipitation and atmospheric CO2 concentration. In addition, three temperature-variability scenarios were included assuming different levels of decreased temperature variability in winter and increased in summer. Crop yield was simulated for the different climate change scenarios by a calibrated version of AFRCWHEAT2 to model several combinations of genotypes (varying in crop growth, development and tolerance to water and nitrogen scarcity) and management (sowing dates and nitrogen fertilization rate). The simulations showed a slight improvement of grain yields (0.3-1.2 Mg ha(-1)) in the medium-term (2030-2050), but not enough to cope with expected increases in demand for food and feed. Optimum management added up to 1.8 Mg ha(-1). Genetic modifications regarding winter wheat crop development exhibit the greatest sensitivity to climate and larger potential for improvement (+3.8 Mg ha(-1)). The results consistently points towards need for cultivars with a longer reproductive phases (2.9-7.5% per 1 degrees C) and lower photoperiod sensitivities. Due to the positive synergies between several genotypic characteristics, multiple-target breeding programmes would be necessary, possibly assisted by model-based assessments of optimal phenotypic characteristics.  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0168-1923 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes CropM, ftnotmacsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4630  
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