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Rivington, M., & Wallach, D. (2015). Quantified Evidence of Error Propagation (Vol. 6).
Abstract: Error propagation within models is an issue that requires a structured approach involving the testing of individual equations and evaluation of the consequences of error creation from imperfect equation and model structure on estimates of interest made by a model. This report briefly covers some of the key issues in error propagation and sets out several concepts, across a range of complexity, that may be used to organise an investigation into error propagation. No Label
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Rivington, M., & Wallach, D. (2015). Information to support input data quality and model improvement (Vol. 6).
Abstract: Data quality is a key factor in determining the quality of model estimates and hence a models’ overall utility. Good models run with poor quality explanatory variables and parameters will produce meaningless estimates. Many models are now well developed and have been shown to perform well where and when good quality data is available. Hence a major limitation now to further use of models in new locations and applications is likely to be the availability of good quality data. Improvements in the quality of data may be seen as the starting point of further model improvement, in that better data itself will lead to more accurate model estimates (i.e. through better calibration), and it will facilitate reduction of model residual error by enabling refinements to model equations. This report sets out why data quality is important as well as the basis for additional investment in improving data quality. No Label
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Rivington, M., & Wallach, D. (2015). Communication strategy, including design of tools for more effective communication of uncertainty (Vol. 6).
Abstract: Communication is the key link between the generation of information by MACSUR about the uncertainty of climate change impacts on future food security and how information is used by decision makers. It is therefore important to make available the common tools for reporting uncertainty, with a discussion of the advantages or difficulties of each. That is the purpose of this report. No Label
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Rivington, M. (2015). AgriMod – The Agricultural Modelling Knowledge Hub (Vol. 5).
Abstract: Agrimod serves as a central knowledge hub for information on agricultural modelling activities worldwide. The vision is to unite the agricultural modelling community by providing a platform whereby models can be showcased, their applications discussed and new collaborations built, streamlining the process by which new modelling activities are developed. Agrimod covers spatial scales from cells to globe, temporal scales from minutes to centuries. There is a limitless coverage of research issues, bounded only by their relevance to agriculture, as the platform is open-ended: details about models, data or case studies can be up-dated; issues or concepts can be raised and discussed. The scope is limited only by the willingness of users to participate. No Label
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Reidsma, P., Wolf, J., Kanellopoulos, A., Schaap, B. F., Mandryk, M., Verhagen, J., et al. (2015). Climate change impact and adaptation research requires integrated assessment and farming systems analysis: a case study in the Netherlands..
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