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Author (down) Calanca, P.
Title Modelling the impacts of seasonal drought on herbage growth under climate change Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal Advances in Animal Biosciences
Volume 7 Issue 03 Pages 231-232
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Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4874
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Author (down) Brylińska, M.; Sobkowiak, S.; Stefańczyk, E.; Śliwka, J.
Title Potato cultivation system affects population structure of Phytophthora infestans Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Fungal Ecology Abbreviated Journal Fungal Ecology
Volume 20 Issue Pages 132-143
Keywords SSR; Population genetic structure; Late blight; Potato; late blight resistance; mating-type; microsatellite markers; phenotypic diversity; sexual reproduction; genotypic diversity; nordic countries; severe outbreaks; sarpo mira; pathogenicity
Abstract Phytophthora infestans is one of the most destructive potato pathogens. Many factors influence the population structure of P. infestans, including migration, climate and type of potato cultivation. Here, we analyse 365 P. infestans isolates collected from three regions of Poland over three years. We determined mating type, mitochondrial haplotype, resistance to metalaxyl, virulence and polymorphism at 14 simple sequence repeat (SSR) loci. Analysis of SSR markers showed high genetic diversity associated with this population. Model-based structure analysis grouped 299 unique genotypes into four main clusters. The P. infestans isolates collected from the Mlochow region, which has the most intensive level of potato cultivation, formed a distinct cluster, indicating a strong effect of the cultivation system on pathogen population structure. Three clusters contained isolates with frequent presence of three alleles at one locus, which may affect their capacity for sexual reproduction and preserve groups of fit genotypes that propagate asexually. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd and The British Mycological Society.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 1754-5048 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4720
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Author (down) Boote, K.J.; Porter, C.; Jones, J.W.; Thorburn, P.J.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Hoogenboom, G.; White, J.W.; Hatfield, J.L.
Title Sentinel site data for crop model improvement—definition and characterization Type Book Chapter
Year 2016 Publication Improving Modeling Tools to Assess Climate Change Effects on Crop Response Abbreviated Journal
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Abstract Crop models are increasingly being used to assess the impacts of future climate change on production and food security. High quality, site-specific data on weather, soils, management, and cultivar are needed for those model applications. Also important is that model development, evaluation, improvement, and calibration require additional high quality, site-specific measurements on crop yield, growth, phenology, and ancillary traits. We review the evolution of minimum data set requirements for agroecosystem modeling and then describe the characteristics and ranking of sentinel site data needed for crop model improvement, calibration, and application. We in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP), propose to rank sentinel site data sets as platinum, gold, silver, and copper, based on the degree of true site-specific measurement of weather, soils, management, crop yield, as well as the quality, comprehensiveness, quantity, accuracy, and value. For example, to be ranked platinum, the weather and soil characterization must be measured on-site, and all management inputs must be known. Dataset ranking will be lower for weather measured off-site or soil traits estimated from soil mapping. Ranking also depends on the intended purposes for data use. If the purpose is to improve a crop model for response to water or N, then additional observations are necessary, such as initial soil water, initial soil inorganic N, and plant N uptake during the growing season to be ranked platinum. Rankings are enhanced by presence of multiple treatments and sites. Examples of platinum-, gold-, and silver-quality data sets for model improvement and calibration uses are illustrated.
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor Hatfield, J.L.; Fleisher, D.
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Advances in Agricultural Systems Modeling Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume 7 Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4980
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Author (down) Bojar, W.; Żarski, J.; Knopik, L.; Kuśmierek-Tomaszewska, R.; Sikora, M.; Dzieża, G.
Title Markov Chain as a Model of Daily Total Precipitation and a Prediction of Future Natural Events Type Conference Article
Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Berlin (Germany) Editor
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Area Expedition Conference International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4911
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Author (down) Bojar, W.; Knopik, L.; Żarski, J.; Kuśmierek-Tomaszewska, R.
Title Integrated assessment of crop productivity based on the food supply forecasting Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Agricultural Economics – Czech Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Economics – Czech
Volume 61 Issue 11 Pages 502-510
Keywords climate changes; decision-making tools; estimation of parameters; forecasted outputs; gamma distribution; predicting yields; climate-change; emissions scenarios; impacts; potato; yield; growth; policy; scale; water
Abstract Climate change scenarios suggest that long periods without rainfall will occur in the future often causing instability of the agricultural products market. The aim of our research was to build a model describing the amount of precipitation and droughts for forecasting crop yields in the future. In this study, we analysed a non-standard mixture of gamma and one point distributions as the model of rainfall. On the basis of the rainfall data, one can estimate parameters of the distribution. Parameter estimators were constructed using a method of maximum likelihood. The obtained rainfall data allow confirming the hypothesis of the adequacy of the proposed rainfall models. Long series of droughts allow one to determine the probabilities of adverse phenomena in agriculture. Based on the model, yields of barley in the years 2030 and 2050 were forecasted which can be used for the assessment of other crops productivity. The results obtained with this approach can be used to predict decreases in agricultural production caused by prospective rainfall shortages. This will enable decision makers to shape effective agricultural policies in order to learn how to balance the food supplies and demands through an appropriate management of stored raw food materials and import/export policies.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 0139-570x ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4644
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