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Author (down) Müller, C.
Title Impacts of Climate Change and Agricultural Modeling Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference Capacity Building Workshop for Regional Scientists Turn Down the Heat III: Regional Analysis (MNA/LAC/ECA), The Case for Resilience, Potsdam, Germany, 2014-03-11 to 2014-03-13
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2669
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Author (down) Müller, C.
Title Climate change impacts, uncertainties and implications Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference First Workshop Expert Network Management of Climate change induced Risks, Hamburg, Germany, 2013-03-20 to 2013-03-21
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2665
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Author (down) Müller, C.
Title Multi-sector interaction in climate change impact analysis Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Language Summary Language Original Title
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Area Expedition Conference Impacts World 2013, International Conference on Climate Change Effects, Potsdam, Germany, 2013-05-27 to 2013-05-30
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2666
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Author (down) Müller, C.
Title African lessons on climate change risks for agriculture Type Journal Article
Year 2013 Publication Annual Review of Nutrition Abbreviated Journal Ann. Rev. Nutr.
Volume 33 Issue 1 Pages 395-411
Keywords Africa/epidemiology; *Climate Change/economics; Crops, Agricultural/economics/*growth & development; Diet/adverse effects/economics; Forecasting; *Global Health/economics/trends; Humans; Malnutrition/economics/epidemiology/prevention & control; *Models, Theoretical; Risk; Soil/chemistry; Water Resources/economics
Abstract Climate change impact assessments on agriculture are subject to large uncertainties, as demonstrated in the present review of recent studies for Africa. There are multiple reasons for differences in projections, including uncertainties in greenhouse gas emissions and patterns of climate change; assumptions on future management, aggregation, and spatial extent; and methodological differences. Still, all projections agree that climate change poses a significant risk to African agriculture. Most projections also see the possibility of increasing agricultural production under climate change, especially if suitable adaptation measures are assumed. Climate change is not the only projected pressure on African agriculture, which struggles to meet demand today and may need to feed an additional one billion individuals by 2050. Development strategies are urgently needed, but they will need to consider future climate change and its inherent uncertainties. Science needs to show how existing synergies between climate change adaptation and development can be exploited.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 0199-9885 1545-4312 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4496
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Author (down) Moriondo, M.; Ferrise, R.; Trombi, G.; Brilli, L.; Dibari, C.; Bindi, M.
Title Modelling olive trees and grapevines in a changing climate Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Environmental Modelling & Software Abbreviated Journal Env. Model. Softw.
Volume 72 Issue Pages 387-401
Keywords tree crops; climate change; simulation models; crop yield; vitis-vinifera l.; air co2 enrichment; soil-water content; elevated co2; mediterranean basin; cropping systems; growth; yield; carbon; simulation
Abstract The models developed for simulating olive tree and grapevine yields were reviewed by focussing on the major limitations of these models for their application in a changing climate. Empirical models, which exploit the statistical relationship between climate and yield, and process based models, where crop behaviour is defined by a range of relationships describing the main plant processes, were considered. The results highlighted that the application of empirical models to future climatic conditions (i.e. future climate scenarios) is unreliable since important statistical approaches and predictors are still lacking. While process-based models have the potential for application in climate-change impact assessments, our analysis demonstrated how the simulation of many processes affected by warmer and CO2-enriched conditions may give rise to important biases. Conversely, some crop model improvements could be applied at this stage since specific sub-models accounting for the effect of elevated temperatures and CO2 concentration were already developed. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 1364-8152 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ftnotmacsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4691
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