| Records |
Author  |
Mueller, C. |
| Title |
A crop modeling response to economists’ wishlists |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2014 |
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| Abstract |
Assessments of climate change impacts on agricultural markets and land-use patterns rely on quantification of climate change impacts on the spatial patterns of land productivity. We supply a set of climate impact scenarios on agricultural land productivity derived from two climate models and two biophysical crop growth models to account for some of the uncertainty inherent in climate and impact models. Aggregation in space and time leads to information losses that can determine climate change impacts on agricultural markets and land-use patterns because often aggregation is across steep gradients from low to high impacts or from increases to decreases. The four climate change impact scenarios supplied here were designed to represent the most significant impacts (high emission scenario only, assumed ineffectiveness of carbon dioxide fertilization on agricultural yields, no adjustments in management) but are consistent with the assumption that changes in agricultural practices are covered in the economic models. Globally, production of individual crops decrease by 10 to 38% under these climate change scenarios, with large uncertainties in spatial patterns that are determined by both the uncertainty in climate projections and the choice of impact model. This uncertainty in climate impact on crop productivity needs to be considered by economic assessments of climate change. |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference |
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3(S) Sassari, Italy |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy |
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no |
| Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
5048 |
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| Author |
Mula, L. |
| Title |
Adaptation scenarios of Mediterranean forage systems to climate change |
Type |
Book Whole |
| Year |
2014 |
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Thesis |
Ph.D. thesis |
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University of Sassari |
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Sassari |
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PhD |
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PhD |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
5150 |
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| Author |
Müller, C. |
| Title |
Impacts of Climate Change and Agricultural Modeling |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2014 |
Publication |
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CropM |
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Capacity Building Workshop for Regional Scientists Turn Down the Heat III: Regional Analysis (MNA/LAC/ECA), The Case for Resilience, Potsdam, Germany, 2014-03-11 to 2014-03-13 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2669 |
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| Author |
Müller, C., Elliott J |
| Title |
AgMIP’s Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2014 |
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CropM |
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MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12 |
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Approved |
no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2668 |
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| Author |
Müller, C.; Elliott, J.; Levermann, A. |
| Title |
Food security: Fertilizing hidden hunger |
Type |
Journal Article |
| Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Nature Climate Change |
Abbreviated Journal |
Nat. Clim. Change |
| Volume |
4 |
Issue |
7 |
Pages |
540-541 |
| Keywords |
elevated CO2; human-nutrition; climate-change; carbon; face |
| Abstract |
Atmospheric CO2 fertilization may go some way to compensating the negative impact of climatic changes on crop yields, but it comes at the expense of a deterioration of the current nutritional value of food. |
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English |
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1758-678x 1758-6798 |
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Editorial Material |
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CropM |
Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4537 |
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