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Author Bojar, W.; Knopik, L.; Żarski, J.; Kuśmierek-Tomaszewska, R.
Title Integrated assessment of crop productivity based on the food supply forecasting Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Agricultural Economics – Czech Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Economics – Czech
Volume 61 Issue 11 Pages 502-510
Keywords climate changes; decision-making tools; estimation of parameters; forecasted outputs; gamma distribution; predicting yields; climate-change; emissions scenarios; impacts; potato; yield; growth; policy; scale; water
Abstract Climate change scenarios suggest that long periods without rainfall will occur in the future often causing instability of the agricultural products market. The aim of our research was to build a model describing the amount of precipitation and droughts for forecasting crop yields in the future. In this study, we analysed a non-standard mixture of gamma and one point distributions as the model of rainfall. On the basis of the rainfall data, one can estimate parameters of the distribution. Parameter estimators were constructed using a method of maximum likelihood. The obtained rainfall data allow confirming the hypothesis of the adequacy of the proposed rainfall models. Long series of droughts allow one to determine the probabilities of adverse phenomena in agriculture. Based on the model, yields of barley in the years 2030 and 2050 were forecasted which can be used for the assessment of other crops productivity. The results obtained with this approach can be used to predict decreases in agricultural production caused by prospective rainfall shortages. This will enable decision makers to shape effective agricultural policies in order to learn how to balance the food supplies and demands through an appropriate management of stored raw food materials and import/export policies.
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0139-570x ISBN Medium Article
Area (up) Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4644
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Author Ventrella, D.
Title Durum wheat yield and protein stability depending on residue management in a long term experiment in Southern Italy Edinburgh Type Conference Article
Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Edinburgh (UK) Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Proceeding of ESA 14 – Growing landscapes – Cultivating innovative agricultural systems Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area (up) Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4888
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Author Piccard, I.; Gobin, A.; Curnel, Y.; Goffart, J.-P.; Planchon, V.; Wellens, J.; Tychon, B.; Cattoor, N.; Cools, R.
Title iPot: Improved potato monitoring in Belgium using remote sensing and crop growth modelling Type Conference Article
Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
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Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Vienna (Austria) Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title European GeoSciences Union (EGU), General Assembly 2016 Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume 18 Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area (up) Expedition Conference Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2016-04-17 to 2016-04-22, Vienna
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4890
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Author Yang, H.; Dobbie, S.; Ramirez-Villegas, J.; Feng, K.; Challinor, A.J.; Chen, B.; Gao, Y.; Lee, L.; Yin, Y.; Sun, L.; Watson, J.; Koehler, A.-K.; Fan, T.; Ghosh, S.
Title Potential negative consequences of geoengineering on crop production: A study of Indian groundnut Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Geophysical Research Letters Abbreviated Journal Geophys. Res. Let.
Volume 43 Issue 22 Pages 11786-11795
Keywords Mangrove Tidal Creek; Land-Ocean Boundary; Carbon-Dioxide; Organic-Matter; River Estuary; European Estuaries; CO2 Fluxes; NE Coast; Water; Bay; fCO(2) (water); air-water CO2 flux; Hugli Estuary; Matla Estuary; Blue Carbon; source of CO2
Abstract Geoengineering has been proposed to stabilize global temperature, but its impacts on crop production and stability are not fully understood. A few case studies suggest that certain crops are likely to benefit from solar dimming geoengineering, yet we show that geoengineering is projected to have detrimental effects for groundnut. Using an ensemble of crop-climate model simulations, we illustrate that groundnut yields in India undergo a statistically significant decrease of up to 20% as a result of solar dimming geoengineering relative to RCP4.5. It is somewhat reassuring, however, to find that after a sustained period of 50 years of geoengineering crop yields return to the nongeoengineered values within a few years once the intervention is ceased.
Address 2017-01-20
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0094-8276 ISBN Medium Article
Area (up) Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ft_MACSUR Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4936
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Author Blanco-Penedo et al.
Title Data driven dairy decision for farmers Type Report
Year 2016 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 8 Issue Pages SP8-2
Keywords
Abstract Conference poster PDF
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area (up) Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4855
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