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de Visser, C.; Schoorlemmer, H.; Golaszewski, J.; Olba-Ziety, E.; Stolarski, M.; Brodzinski, Z.; Myhan, R.; Baptista, F.; Silva, L.L.; Murcho, D.; de Castro Neto, M.; Meyer-Aurich, A.; Briassoulis, D.P., P.; Balafoutis, A.; Lutsyuk, C.; Dalgaard, T. |
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Agenda for Transnational Co-operation on energy efficiency in agriculture |
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2013 |
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Project deliverable report 4.5. FP7 EU project: Agriculture & Energy Efficiency AGREE, www.agree.aua.gr. |
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Wageningen |
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Wageningen UR |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2071 |
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Kirchner, M.; Schmid, E.; Mitter, H.; Schönhart, M. |
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Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change and Market Integration on Agricultural Production and Land Use Management in Austria |
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2015 |
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IIASA Interim Report Young Scientists Summer Program |
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TradeM C6 - |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2065 |
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Bojar, W.; Verburg, R.; Zarski, J.; Brouwer, F. |
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Circumstances of climatic changes impacts on agricultural production taking attention regional characteristics |
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2012 |
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Studies & Proceedings of Polish Association for Knowledge Management |
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61 |
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29-44 |
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TradeM |
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2066 |
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Weindl, I.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Popp, A.; Müller, C.; Havlík, P.; Herrero, M.; Schmitz, C.; Rolinski, S. |
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Livestock in a changing climate: production system transitions as an adaptation strategy for agriculture |
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2015 |
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Environmental Research Letters |
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Environ. Res. Lett. |
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10 |
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9 |
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094021 |
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livestock; climate impacts; land use modeling; adaptation costs; production systems; greenhouse-gas emissions; global change; management implications; developing-countries; crop productivity; change mitigation; food security; model; impacts; carbon |
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Livestock farming is the world’s largest land use sector and utilizes around 60% of the global biomass harvest. Over the coming decades, climate change will affect the natural resource base of livestock production, especially the productivity of rangeland and feed crops. Based on a comprehensive impact modeling chain, we assess implications of different climate projections for agricultural production costs and land use change and explore the effectiveness of livestock system transitions as an adaptation strategy. Simulated climate impacts on crop yields and rangeland productivity generate adaptation costs amounting to 3% of total agricultural production costs in 2045 (i.e. 145 billion US$). Shifts in livestock production towards mixed crop-livestock systems represent a resource-and cost-efficient adaptation option, reducing agricultural adaptation costs to 0.3% of total production costs and simultaneously abating deforestation by about 76 million ha globally. The relatively positive climate impacts on grass yields compared with crop yields favor grazing systems inter alia in South Asia and North America. Incomplete transitions in production systems already have a strong adaptive and cost reducing effect: a 50% shift to mixed systems lowers agricultural adaptation costs to 0.8%. General responses of production costs to system transitions are robust across different global climate and crop models as well as regarding assumptions on CO2 fertilization, but simulated values show a large variation. In the face of these uncertainties, public policy support for transforming livestock production systems provides an important lever to improve agricultural resource management and lower adaptation costs, possibly even contributing to emission reduction. |
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1748-9326 |
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LiveM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4718 |
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Liu, X.; Lehtonen, H.; Purola, T.; Pavlova, Y.; Rötter, R.; Palosuo, T. |
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Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotations with farm management practices under future pest pressure |
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2016 |
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Agricultural Systems |
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Agricultural Systems |
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144 |
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65-76 |
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Farm management; Dynamic optimization; Crop rotation; Risk aversion; Climate change; Prices; climate-change; sequester carbon; changing climate; food security; challenge; Finland; ensembles; systems; europe; tool |
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Agricultural practice is facing multiple challenges under volatile commodity markets, inevitable climate change, mounting pest pressure and various other environment-related constraints. The objective of this research is to present a dynamic optimization model of crop rotations and farm management and show its suitability for economic analysis over a 30 year time period. In this model, we include management practices such as fertilization, fungicide treatment and liming, and apply it in a region in Southwestern Finland. Results show that (i) growing pest pressure favours the cultivation of wheat-oats and wheat-oilseeds combinations, while (ii) market prices largely determine the crops in the rotation plan and the specific management practices adopted. The flexibility of our model can also be utilized in evaluating the value of other management options such as new cultivars under different projections of future climate and market conditions. |
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0308521x |
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CropM, TradeM, ftnotmacsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4719 |
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