Records |
Author |
Toscano, P.; Genesio, L.; Crisci, A.; Vaccari, F.P.; Ferrari, E.; La Cava, P.; Porter, J.R.; Gioli, B. |
Title |
Empirical modelling of regional and national durum wheat quality |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology |
Abbreviated Journal |
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology |
Volume |
204 |
Issue |
|
Pages |
67-78 |
Keywords |
durum wheat; grain protein content; forecasting tool; modelling; gridded data; red winter-wheat; grain quality; climate-change; mediterranean conditions; interannual variability; protein-composition; co2 concentration; vapor-pressure; carbon-dioxide; crop yield |
Abstract |
The production of durum wheat in the Mediterranean basin is expected to experience increased variability in yield and quality as a consequence of climate change. To assess how environmental variables and agronomic practices affect grain protein content (GPC), a novel approach based on monthly gridded input data has been implemented to develop empirical model, and validated on historical time series to assess its capability to reproduce observed spatial and inter-annual GPC variability. The model was applied in four Italian regions and at the whole national scale and proved reliable and usable for operational purposes also in a forecast ‘real-time’ mode before harvesting. Precipitable water during autumn to winter and air temperature from anthesis to harvest were extremely important influences on GPC; these and additional variables, included in a linear model, were able to account for 95% of the variability in GPC that has occurred in the last 15 years in Italy. Our results are a unique example of the use of modelling as a predictive real-time platform and are a useful tool to understand better and forecast the impacts of future climate change projections on durum wheat production and quality. |
Address |
2016-10-31 |
Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
|
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
|
Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
|
Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
|
Series Issue |
|
Edition |
|
ISSN |
0168-1923 |
ISBN |
|
Medium |
Article |
Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
|
Notes |
CropM, ft_macsur |
Approved |
no |
Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4818 |
Permanent link to this record |
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Author |
Ventrella, D.; Charfeddine, M.; Giglio, L.; Castellini, M. |
Title |
Application of DSSAT models for an agronomic adaptation strategy under climate change in Southern of Italy: optimum sowing and transplanting time for winter durum wheat and tomato |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2012 |
Publication |
Italian Journal of Agronomy |
Abbreviated Journal |
Ital. J. Agron. |
Volume |
7 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
16 |
Keywords |
DSSAT model; climate change; winter durum wheat; tomato; sowing time; transplanting time |
Abstract |
Many climate change studies have been carried out in different parts of the world to assess climate change vulnerability and adaptation capacity of agricultural crops for certain environments characterized from climatic, pedological and agronomical point of view. The objective of this study was to analyse the productive response of winter durum wheat and tomato to climate change and sowing/transplanting time in one of the most productive areas of Italy (i.e. Capitanata, Puglia), using CERES-Wheat and CROPGRO cropping system models. Three climatic datasets were used: i) a single dataset (50 km x 50 km) provided by the JRC European centre for the period 1975- 2005; two datasets from HadCM3 for the IPCC A2 GHG scenario for time slices with +2°C (centred over 2030-2060) and +5°C (centred over 2070-2099), respectively. All three datasets were used to generate synthetic climate series using a weather simulator (model LARS-WG). No negative yield effects of climate change were observed for winter durum wheat with delayed sowing (from 330 to 345 DOY) increasing the average dry matter grain yield under forecasted scenarios. Instead, the warmer temperatures were primarily shown to accelerate the phenology, resulting in decreased yield for tomato under the + 5°C future climate scenario. In general, under global temperature increase by 5°C, early transplanting times could minimize the negative impact of climate change on crop productivity but the intensity of this effect was not sufficient to restore the current production levels of tomato cultivated in southern Italy. |
Address |
2016-10-31 |
Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
|
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
|
Series Editor |
|
Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
|
Series Issue |
|
Edition |
|
ISSN |
2039-6805 1125-4718 |
ISBN |
|
Medium |
Article |
Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
CropM, ftnotmacsur |
Approved |
no |
Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4821 |
Permanent link to this record |