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Semenov, M.A.; Stratonovitch, P. |
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Local-scale CMIP5-based climate scenarios for MACSUR2 |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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8 |
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C2.2-D |
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CropM |
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Climate sensitivity of GCMs was used to select 5 GCMs from the CMIP5 ensemble for impact studies in MACSUR2. Selected GCMs for MACSUR2 are EC-EARTH (7), GFDL-CM3 (8) HadGEM2-ES (10), MIROC5 (13), and MPI-ESM-MR (15). These GCMs are evenly distributed among CMIP5 (Fig 1) and should capture, in principal, climate uncertainty of the CMIP5 ensemble. Using 5 GCMs will enable us to assess uncertainties in impacts related to uncertainty in climate projections. The selection of GCMs in MACSUR2 has a good overlap with selections of GCMs used in CORDEX and AgMIP projects. We used the LARS-WG generator to construct local-scale CMIP5-based climate scenarios for Europe (Semenov & Stratonovitch, 2015). Fifteen sites were selected in Europe for MACSUR2. For each site and each selected GCM, 100 yrs climate daily data were generated by LARS-WG for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios and for baseline and 3 future periods: near-term (2021-2040), mid-term (2041-2060) and long-term (2081-2100). |
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2270 |
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Author |
Lehtonen, H. |
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Title |
Evaluating competitiveness of clover-grass as a resilient feed production option in Finland |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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9 C6 - |
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Sp9-4 |
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Clover-grasses address the following objectives:– Decreased input use (N-fertilization), reduced dependency ofinorganic N => reduced GHG emissions– Possibility for increased protein content of silage, reduceddependency on purchased protein feed supplement (homegrown proteins, resilience)© Natural Resources Institute Finland– Better utilisation of farmland in the context of climate changein the north: Higher T – improved N fixation– Compatible with sustainable agriculture and sustainableintensification: more output with the same inputs / the sameoutput with reduced (non-renewable) inputs• In contrast: Shifting to silage maize increases N fertilisation– Major shift from grasslands to silage maize in e.g. Denmark 1. Small cost reductions in clover-grass cultivation, or clover-grasspremiums, may or may not increase clover cultivation- Their effectiveness is uncertain and subject to prices2. N tax is effective, but is not a suitable policy action in currentfinancial situation of farms (milk crisis 2015-2016)3. However, the results suggest that a 25% higher N price lead to© Natural Resources Institute Finlandsignificantly higher clover grass area and a small reduction ínmilk output – with no cost reductions or extra premiums!4. To increase clover cultivation, price ratios should be adjusted!5. If increasing clover -grass yield, a robust increase in clovergrass areas may realise, with small benefits for farm economyand overall production – How much more clover grass yieldcould be attained at low costs? A topic for further discussionand analysis |
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4853 |
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Blanco-Penedo et al. |
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Data driven dairy decision for farmers |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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8 |
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SP8-2 |
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4855 |
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Menardo et al. |
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Title |
INNO Mil-CH4 GHG Emissions from Milk Production |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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8 |
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SP8-4 |
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LiveM2016: International livestock modelling conference – Modelling grassland-livestock systems under climate change |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4845 |
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Hempel et al. |
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An integrated modelling approach to assess optimisation potentials for cattle housing climate |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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8 |
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SP8-11 |
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LiveM2016: International livestock modelling conference – Modelling grassland-livestock systems under climate change |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4858 |
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